Biden takes lead over Trump with key swing state voters – latest polls
Related video: Biden, Trump expected to visit striking UAW members this week
A Pennsylvania poll has revealed that Black and Latino voters strongly support President Joe Biden in a 2024 showdown with former President Donald Trump.
The Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc survey revealed that 80 per cent of Black voters would back Mr Biden, while 19 per cent said they would vote for Mr Trump. But in 2020, 90 per cent of Black voters backed Mr Biden in the state.
Mr Biden won back Pennsylvania for the Democrats in 2020 by a margin of 1.2 per cent.
Seventy-four per cent of Black voters said they would back Mr Biden to be the Democratic nominee in 2024, while nine per cent said they preferred anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist Robert Kennedy Jr. Mr Kennedy is expected to launch an independent campaign for president.
This comes as Nikki Haley is beating Florida Governor Ron DeSantis in polls in two of the early primary states.
The former UN ambassador and South Carolina Governor is in second place behind former President Donald Trump in both her home state and New Hampshire.
Black and Latino voters Pennsylvania overwhelmingly back Biden
A Pennsylvania poll has revealed that Black and Latino voters strongly support President Joe Biden in a 2024 showdown with former President Donald Trump.
The Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc survey revealed that 80 per cent of Black voters would back Mr Biden, while 19 per cent said they would vote for Mr Trump.
Mr Biden won back Pennsylvania for the Democrats in 2020 by a margin of 1.2 per cent, with the president getting the support of 92 per cent of Black voters, according to a CNN exit poll.
Seventy-four per cent of Black voters said they would back Mr Biden to be the Democratic nominee in 2024, while nine per cent said they preferred anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist Robert Kennedy Jr. Mr Kennedy is expected to launch an independent campaign for president.
Eighty-one per cent of Latino Pennsylvanians said they would support Mr Biden, compared to 19 per cent who said they would vote for Mr Trump.
Gustaf Kilander9 October 2023 15:08
Nikki Haley emerges as Trump’s top GOP rival in new poll
Mr DeSantis and Donald Trump have been the only two names to pull significant numbers in polling since the Republican presidential primary began. While Mr Trump commands a significant lead over Mr DeSantis, the Florida governor was still the clear favorite among candidates who sought to challenge the former president.
For a short time, the party seemed to be warming to anti-woke businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, but polling has cooled, and likely due in no small part to the lashing he received at the hands of Ms Haley.
A Suffolk University/Boston Globe/USA Today survey released on Wednesday shows Ms Haley beating Mr DeSantis, 19 per cent to 10 per cent. The voters in that poll were all from New Hampshire, where the first primary of election season sets the stage for the rest of the year and can provide a significant national boost to whichever candidate comes out on top.
Mr DeSantis was the favoured candidate to challenge Mr Trump, but his popularity has waned as the primary season continues. A Yahoo News/YouGov poll from the end of August showed an 11 per cent drop in Mr DeSantis’ support — from 23 per cent to 12 per cent.
Graig Graziosi6 October 2023 20:00
Nikki Haley pulling ahead of DeSantis in two early states in battle for second place behind Trump
Nikki Haley is beating Florida Governor Ron DeSantis in polls in two of the early primary states.
The former UN ambassador and South Carolina Governor is in second place behind former President Donald Trump in both her home state and New Hampshire.
In New Hampshire, a new poll of Republican primary voters by Suffolk University, The Boston Globe, and USA Today found that Ms Haley received the support of 19 per cent of likely primary voters, her highest numbers in the state so far in the 2024 campaign. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is in third place in the state at 10 per cent while all other candidates are in the single digits. Mr Trump is far ahead at 49 per cent.
In her home state, Ms Haley is pulling away from fellow South Carolinian Senator Tim Scott.
Gustaf Kilander5 October 2023 19:57
Nikki Haley comes in behind Trump in New Hampshire primary poll
The former South Carolina governor and UN Ambassador received 19 per cent of likely primary voters, her highest numbers in the state so far in the 2024 campaign. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is in third place in the state at 10 per cent while all other candidates are in the single digits.
Gustaf Kilander4 October 2023 13:13
Most of Iowa and New Hampshire voters are considering candidates other than Trump
While Mr Trump has a massive lead with the national Republican electorate, voters in the early-voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire are looking beyond the former president.
More than three-quarters of likely Republican voters in those states are either not even considering Mr Trump, or are considering him but are also looking at other options, according to a poll by CBS News and YouGov.
But when voters were asked who they would back right now, Mr Trump topped the poll by 30 points in Iowa and by 37 points in New Hampshire.
Ron DeSantis was supported by 21 per cent in Iowa and 13 per cent in New Hampshire.
Gustaf Kilander30 September 2023 18:00
Trump has biggest primary poll lead since George W Bush in 2000 election
Donald Trump has the biggest primary poll lead since George W Bush in the 2000 election.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is supported by 15 per cent – 43 points behind Mr Trump.
At a similar time in the 2000 campaign, in September 1999, Mr Bush was a 62 per cent in the polls to Elizabeth Dole’s 10 per cent – a lead of 52 points.
Gustaf Kilander30 September 2023 17:00
What have GOP candidates said about strikes and unions?
Before the election of Donald Trump, it would have been more or less unthinkable for a Republican to be criticised for invoking Ronald Reagan.
But as college graduates move towards the Democrats and more socially conservative working-class voters towards the GOP, Republican candidates can no longer invoke the Golden State governor and B-list actor and be sure that whatever they say will be a slam dunk.
South Carolina Senator Tim Scott figured this out the hard way on the campaign trail. As both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump speak to the United Auto Workers Union this week, both of them will attempt to appear to be on the side of the workers.
Mr Scott was hit with a complaint from the union after he was asked about his view of the labour negotiations following the UAW’s decision to strike against the Big Three automakers.
“Ronald Reagan gave us a great example when federal employees decided they were going to strike,” he said.
Mr Reagan fired thousands of air traffic controllers after they went on strike in 1981.
“He said, ‘You strike, you’re fired.’ Simple concept to me. To the extent that we can use that once again, absolutely,” Mr Scott said in Iowa earlier this month, even as the GOP has come to rely more and more on blue-collar workers.
But the Republican Party today remains anti-union, especially when considering what General Dwight Eisenhower told the American Federation of Labor when he was running for president in 1952.
“Today in America unions have a secure place in our industrial life,” he said. “Only a handful of unreconstructed reactionaries harbour the ugly thought of breaking unions. Only a fool would try to deprive working men and women of the right to join the union of their choice.”
Gustaf Kilander30 September 2023 16:00
Majority of voters say Trump should be disqualified under 14th amendment, poll shows
Fifty-one per cent said that Mr Trump is prevented from running under the 14th Amendment because he was part of an insurrection following the 2020 election.
Before the survey respondents were asked about disqualifying Mr Trump, they were asked a number of questions concerning the Constitution and Mr Trump’s behaviour after the last presidential election.
Thirty-four per cent said that Mr Trump should not be disqualified.
Gustaf Kilander30 September 2023 15:08
Poll showing Trump 10 points ahead of Biden blasted as ‘absurd’ and ‘ridiculous’
A poll by The Washington Post and ABC has been blasted by observers after it showed former President Donald Trump 10 points ahead of President Joe Biden.
The director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, pollster Larry Sabato, wrote on X: “Ignore the Washington Post – ABC poll. It’s a ridiculous outlier (Trump up 10 over Biden—laughable). My question: How could you even publish a poll so absurd on its face? Will be a lingering embarrassment for you.”
The chief political analyst at The New York Times, Nate Cohn, wrote: “It’s really really hard to release outlying poll results, so you’ve got to give credit to ABC/Post here, but I do have a fairly major quibble with ABC/Post here: if you release consecutive ‘outlying’ poll results — R+7 in May, R+10 today — you don’t get to dismiss your results.”
The poll by The Washington Post and ABC does show Mr Trump with a 10-point over Mr Biden, but The Post itself writes that “the sizable margin of Trump’s lead in this survey is significantly at odds with other public polls that show the general election contest a virtual dead heat. The difference between this poll and others, as well as the unusual makeup of Trump’s and Biden’s coalitions in this survey, suggest it is probably an outlier”.
Mr Cohn added: “If it happens twice in a row in the same race, it’s clear that this is the result of some element of your approach, and either you either need to decide you’re good with it and defend it or you need to go home.”
Gustaf Kilander25 September 2023 14:47
Trump has double-digit lead over Trump in new poll
Polling from The Washington Post and ABC News shows ex-president Donald Trump with a 10 percentage point lead over President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election.
The survey, which asked 1,006 US adults about their preference for either candidate in a general election showed voters responded 52 per cent for Mr Trump and 42 per cent for Mr Biden.
These findings are an increase in favorability for Mr Trump since the same survey was conducted in May.
Ariana Baio24 September 2023 19:41